Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Eurogroup meeting today decisivoFitch: “Greece Default likely” – TGCOM

– No agreement between Greece and creditors but it continues to treat. L ‘ Eurogroup overtime, convened in a hurry to discuss the request Tsipras to negotiate a third Save , rejects the proposal but is updated to Wednesday morning. He expects a new draft that Athens it would try to send. Meanwhile, the agency Fitch cut its rating greek: “ Default likely.” IMF confirms: “Athens has not paid”.

Nightmare Grexit, scenarios

Laura Reedy

The extraordinary Eurogroup, hastily convened by teleconference to discuss the request for Tsipras of extra time to negotiate a third rescue, rejects the application, but is updated to Wednesday.

New proposal to Athens? – Athens, in fact, he would try to send a new proposal. The dialogue does not stop, even though there have been harsh tones and mutual distrust among the protagonists of the negotiations. From Wednesday, the Greece will officially without an aid program to support it and back to the IMF , unless you get a delayed payment of the 1.7 billion euro . On July 20, then, Athens will have to repay 3.4 billion to the ECB, with government coffers almost empty.

The last offers of Tsipras – Before that, Tsipras wants to negotiate a third floor, which also includes an agreement to cut debt. But Merkel exclude that such negotiations can take place before the referendum on 5 July. The latest offering that Tsipras sent to creditors, looking for a last-minute agreement that scongiurasse the midnight deadline of the aid plan, was far from ‘ latest proposal of mediation of President Jean Claude Juncker . The premier asked, in fact, a new ESM loan for two years and a restructuring of the debt to the fund EFSF. Two requests that break almost two European taboos. For this, the Eurogroup has dismissed after just an hour of comparison. There were not even the time required for an extension of the current plan, they know the ministers.

The proposed Juncker, however, remained within the confines of the current program, to unlock aid still remained, that is, 1.8 billion of the fund EFSF plus 10.9 of the fund for the recapitalization of Greek banks . Money after Tuesday night “will not be available”, he tells the fund led by Klaus Regling.

With the disappearance of the second aid program, the hope of Tsipras is that the EU immediately to open negotiations on the third package, which may bury forever the hated Memorandum related to previous agreements. Merkel, however, slows down the expectations Greek: “Berlin will not consider the possibility of a third bailout for Greece, as proposed by Athens, before the outcome of the referendum next Sunday “.

The chancellor, who has not ever wanted to do neither concessions on debt or discussions on the third package, still leaves the door open: “Of course, not after midnight will cut threads of dialogue , or we would not be the European Union, “he said at a press conference in Berlin. His finance minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble, also reassures the consequences of a possible victory of the ‘no’ in the referendum: “Would not it be a Grexit ” he said, reiterating the line of defense of the euro zone choice Berlin .

Pressing Use – But the pressure on the negotiations is not to one direction. From the US, for example, Obama asked to continue the talks. It is not just words: Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew has called many European colleagues to convince them to open a chink in Athens. We need a compromise, he repeated to all.

The EU, however, does not seem prepared for the moment to leave the Greece . Even Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has heard the phone Tsipras . If it were an agreement before July 5, they know European sources, Athens could also withdraw the referendum or sides in favor, as requested in exchange Juncker delivering its latest offering. Meanwhile Wednesday ‘s Eurogroup expects a new proposal for Athens, and will discuss the plan of reforms in support of the third package he asks. The plan is now being examined by the Commission.

Greece downgraded – Fitch downgraded Greece to “CCC” to “CC”. This was stated by the same rating agency in a statement, noting that a default on the debt in the hands of private creditors at this point is likely. “The breakdown of negotiations between the government greek and its creditors has significantly increased the risk that Greece may not be able to honor its obligations in the coming months, including bonds in the hands of private creditors”, said Fitch, providing a contraction Greece’s economy by 1.5% this year.

IMF: “Athens did not pay” – The payment of Greece, as anticipated by the government of Athens, due not arrived. The official confirmation comes from the IMF, which emphasized that Athens will now receive new loans until they have paid the arrears.

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ROME. Squinzi reopens Marchionne, if Fca wants is welcome – Newspaper The Voice

HEAD THE VOICE OF CANAVESE Reg. Tribunal of Torino n. 57 of 22/05/2007. Director: Liborio The Morning. Properties VOICE SRL P.IVA 09594480015. Editorial: via Torino, 47-10034 – Chivasso (To). Texts and photos published here are the property of The Voice of the Canavese all rights are reserved. The use of texts and pictures on line is, without written permission, forbidden (Law 633/1941).

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Greece: Athens asks rescue, negotiation to the bitter end – ANSA.it

BRUSSELS – Greece and creditors continue to deal with, even beyond the last minute available. The extraordinary Eurogroup, hastily convened by teleconference to discuss the request for Tsipras of extra time to negotiate a third rescue, rejects the application, but is updated to today. Waiting for a new proposal that Athens undertook to send. The thread of the dialogue becomes more subtle but does not stop, despite the harsh tones and mutual distrust among the protagonists of the negotiations. And now for Athens opens a new page will be officially without an aid program to support it and ‘in arrears’ to the IMF, unless they get a delayed payment of the 1.7 billion euro that was yesterday.

A country started to default on July 20, when it will have to repay 3.4 billion to the ECB, with the government’s coffers almost empty. Before that, Tsipras wants to negotiate a third floor, which also includes an agreement to cut debt. But Merkel exclude that such negotiations can take place before the referendum on 5 July. The latest offering that Tsipras yesterday sent to creditors, looking for a last-minute agreement that scongiurasse the midnight deadline of the aid plan, was far from the last offer of mediation of President Jean Claude Juncker. The premier called for a new ESM loan for two years and a restructuring of the debt to the fund EFSF. Two requests that break almost two European taboos. And for that the Eurogroup has dismissed after just an hour of comparison. There were not even the time required for an extension of the current plan, they know the ministers.

The proposed Juncker, however, remained within the confines of the current program, to unlock aid still remained , ie 1.8 billion fund EFSF plus 10.9 of the fund for the recapitalization of Greek banks. Money from the Crypt “no longer available”, tells the fund led by Klaus Regling, who “regrets” the program expires. But, with the disappearance of the second aid program, the hope of Tsipras is that the EU open to negotiations immediately on the third package, which may bury forever the hated Memorandum related to previous agreements. Merkel, however, slows down the expectations Greek: “Berlin will not consider the possibility of a third bailout for Greece, as proposed by Athens, before the outcome of the referendum next Sunday.”

The chancellor, who until now has never wanted to do neither concessions nor the debt discussions on the third package, still leaves the door open: “Of course, not after midnight will cut threads of dialogue, or we would not be the European Union,” he said at a press conference in Berlin. And her finance minister, Wolfgang Schaeuble, also reassures the consequences of a possible victory of the ‘no’ in the referendum: “Would not it be a Grexit,” he said, reiterating the line of defense of the euro area chosen by Berlin. But the pressure on the negotiation is not in one direction. From the US, for example, Obama asked to continue the talks. It is not just words: Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew attaches to the phone and called many ” colleagues ” to convince Europeans to open a chink in Athens. We need a compromise, he repeated to all. The EU, however, does not seem prepared for the moment to abandon Greece.

“In these hours has run reopened the dialogue,” he said this morning the president of the S & amp; d at the European Parliament Gianni Pittella. And Prime Minister Matteo Renzi has heard the phone Tsipras. If it were an agreement before July 5, they know European sources, Athens could also withdraw the referendum or take sides in favor, as requested yesterday in exchange Juncker delivering its latest offering. Meanwhile, today the Eurogroup expects a new proposal for Athens, and will discuss the plan of reforms that have made the ministers yesterday, in support of the third package asks. The plan is now being examined by the Commission, which will give its opinion.

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Tsipras calls for new aid. The Eurogroup replica tomorrow – AGI – Agenzia Journalistic Italy



Economy

21:16 June 30, 2015

(AGI) – Rome, June 30 – Tonight at midnight if, as seems inevitable, Athens will not pay ‘to the IMF installment of € 1.6 billion of maturing loans, Greece will enter’ in technical default, that ‘in what many consider to be the prelude of’ Grexit ‘. So today and ‘taken a series of last minute negotiations between Brussels and Athens, culminating with the request of the greek prime minister, Alexis Tsipras of a third tranche of aid, which the Eurogroup has responded by returning to his response tomorrow and stating that ‘and’ too late to extend the program of aid to Greece. “
Earlier Chancellor Angela Merkel had already ‘dictated the line saying that” Berlin will not take’ into account the possibility of a third bailout for Greece as proposed by Athens, before the outcome of the referendum next Sunday. ” The last minute deal was initiated by the President of the EU Commission, Jean Claude Juncker who told Tsipras is ready to convene a Eurogroup emergency to allocate new aid to Greece, provided that the prime minister agrees to campaign for you ‘in the referendum. Juncker and also ‘pledged to reschedule the debt greek if the referendum will win it’. The answer of Athens and ‘long in coming and in the afternoon Tsipras, who also heard the phone Matteso Renzi, has made the request for a two-year aid program ESM, the permanent mechanism European salvastati, and debt restructuring. The President of the Eurogroup Jeroen Dijsselbloem convened by teleconference the European finance ministers to discuss the new proposal of Athens, but it ‘was preceded by the cold shower of Merkel, who has ruled out further developments for today, adding that Berlin will not discuss new aid before the vote greek. Even the IMF has made it clear that in “no way” the Eurogroup potra ‘release funds for Greece that will enable Athens to avoid technical default.
In the evening and’ then came the news of the postponement of the meeting of tomorrow ‘Eurogroup, topped by the precision that “it’ s too late to an extension of the rescue program of Greece”, which expires tonight at midnight. So Greece will not be ‘saved in extremis, the default, or at least postponement of the IMF will be’ inevitable. And the referendum will take place ‘with the fear of a possible impending Grexit. Meanwhile and ‘also he addressed the US president, Barack Obama, who has encouraged both parties to “continue to negotiate to find a solution” and to smooth the risks on financial markets. According to Obama the crisis “will determine not ‘strong shock in the US system,” and “would have to have significant effects on growth rates in Europe.” And, “if Europe is not growing, this could have harmful effects on the global economy.” (AGI).

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Greece, Eurogroup extraordinary Merkel, “before the vote in Athens” – AGI – Agenzia Journalistic Italy



Economics

Greece Eurogroup extraordinary Merkel before the vote in Athens 17:28 June 30, 2015

(AGI) – Rome, June 30 – Hours febrile in Brussels, waiting to find an agreement for Greece. The European Commission has made a last-gasp attempt to return to the negotiating table the greek prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, who has relaunched with a counterproposal consisting of a two-year aid program ESM (European salvastati the permanent mechanism) and in a debt restructuring. Merkel, however, ‘ice cream expectations of an approaching solution, by leaking that in his opinion “there will be developments on Greece today”. The Eurogroup will meet ‘in extraordinary session tonight at 19 to discuss the new initiative of Athens. This morning, from Brussels had arrived an ‘assist’ for the government greek: the EU had asked the government greek campaigned for the ‘yes’ in the referendum and in return for agreeing to discuss the issue of debt reduction and proposing scheme proposed agreement last Saturday by the institutions. According to EU sources, the EU Commission President, Jean-Claude Juncker, said Tsipras to be willing to convene an emergency Eurogroup today that immediately allocate new aid if the Greek premier had sent a written acceptance of the terms proposed by creditors to the launch of a new program. Juncker was also promised a rescheduling of the debt of Athens if the referendum will win it ‘. Tsipras would assess the proposal and presented then another, after talking to telephone Juncker and Draghi. Contacts are continuing the authorities’ Greek with both Brussels and the ECB. The outcome of the referendum in Greece do not seem to worry the Italian government. “Italy ‘already’ out of the line of fire,” he explained in ‘Sole24ore’ premier Renzi that has’ heard on the phone a few minutes ago with Tsipras. “My concern is not ‘what’ that could happen to Italy, but for the global scenarios of difficulty ‘that could open,” said Renzi.
“Maximum respect for the decisions of the people and government greek “and ‘expressed by the Minister of Economy, Pier Carlo Padoan, who defended the conduct of the executive Italian accused by some of being absent in the debate about Greece. The government, he said, and ‘always been “committed in order to obtain results and visibility’ ‘. (AGI).

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Greece, offered in extremis Juncker Tsipras send her … – TGCOM

– The president of the EU Commission Jean-Claude Juncker has made a late deal to Athens to get to a agreement by midnight, when it will expire on aid plan. The Greek premier Alexis Tsipras raised by sending a letter explaining his counter . For the president of the S & amp; d at the European Parliament Gianni Pittella “it opened a window”. But Varoufakis is clear: “ Today the IMF will not pay .”

Greek crisis, Athens took to the streets

Isabella Josca

For Merkel “too late” – “Tonight at midnight expires the program, I know no other concrete signs”. Angela Merkel told a press conference in Berlin. “There’s still room to treat – he explained – but I do not see solutions. Of course, not after midnight will cut threads of dialogue, or we would not be the European Union. The door remains open”.

Berlin: “No risk of contagion to Italy” – Still, German government sources assure: “We do not see a risk contagion on Italy”, about a possible Greek exit from the euro. Rome “has made several reforms, has a serious government.” And they add: “It ‘s too late for an extension of the program”, pointing out that at this point “would not be feasible” from a procedural point of view in the few hours of available time.

Pittella still he hopes: “It is reopened dialogue” – “Juncker drew up a proposal on pensions and ameliorative work that has not been rejected by Athens – said the MEP after Renzi assured that Italy is safe from any default risk – the are looking at, and we hope for a yes in the coming hours. ”

E Tsipras reconsiders the offer EU – After the proposed Juncker, Tsipras had at first refused and said he would nonetheless voted No to the referendum Sunday. He later reconsidered its position, as reported yet Kathimerini, in connection with the offer of the President of the Commission. So, while confirming that Greece will not refund the IMF loan , get another chance at the last minute. According to sources cited by the newspaper, if Tsipras accept the offer, you should do so in writing by the day, in time to convene an emergency Eurogroup to approve the agreement, and should be committed to campaign for the Yes vote in the referendum. On the phone with Tsipras, Juncker told him that this is a last-minute attempt that “it is up to the Greeks to accept”.

EU Spokesman: “At work until the last – The Commission spokesman Margaritis Schinas says that “the EU will not abandon the people greek and the door remains open, but time is running out”. It stresses that the government “will work for a solution to the last minute.” He added that the Commission “is ready to lead” the process for an investment plan of 35 billion.

offer Juncker would notably include the’ VAT at 13 % for hotels and tourist facilities – The ceiling provided in the Greek proposal and rejected by former troika, calling for 23%. Again, if the offer was accepted, the newspaper reports, the Eurozone finance ministers They may make a statement for which a commitment already made in 2012, which took into account a delay in the payment of debt maturities, drop of interest rates and extension a moratorium on payments towards the euro zone would be applied from next October. A spokesman greek explained that the proposal was heard “with interest”. The decision of the prime minister on the referendum vote on Sunday, however, would not change.

Today the expiration of the debt payments – After Black Monday of European stocks Today Athens would have to repay the loans received from the International Monetary Fund with 1.7 billion euro after that, on June 4, Greece had informed the Fund of the intention to merge the four payments. At midnight it expires also the aid program EU-ECB-IMF, and from July 1 Greece no longer has a financial umbrella to protect her.

Padoan: “Referendum? Maximum respect” – The referendum proposed by the Greek government also intervenes Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan, saying: “Maximum respect for the decision of the people and government greek, expect it. ” He added: “Italy will work because the Eurogroup has a positive relationship with the government greek whatever it is.” And the assumption of a derby euro-drachma? “It seems to me a good definition.”

“A stronger euro” – “Whatever the outcome” of the Greek crisis, resumes, “it is essential to accelerate the integration of ‘ monetary union, which is the best response to the situation we are living especially in the long run, to put it away from major shock. ” The Minister points out that “the first measures to be taken are to complete banking union, without which the common currency can not go well.”

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TAG:
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Tsipras considers latest offer creditors, writes daily greek – Reuters Italy


       

ATHENS (Reuters) – Prime Minister greek Alexis Tsipras is considering a last minute proposal from the European Commission, according to a report in the daily Kathimerini greek, just hours before the deadline Program bailout of the country.


       

“The prime minister’s office announced in Brussels that it is considering a new proposal yesterday the president of the EU Commission” that includes a load reduction of debt in October and new concessions in terms of additions to lower income groups, reports the newspaper, without specifying sources.


       

On the site www.reuters.it other news Reuters in Italian. The top news also on www.twitter.com/reuters_italia

       
          © Thomson Reuters 2015 All rights assigns Reuters.

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Tsipras: “No more threats and blackmail. If yes wins could resign “- The Messenger

Greece into default: Today is the deadline for the repayment of 1.7 billion to the IMF that Athens intends to break even at midnight ending the aid program of the troika. The ECB, for the first time, does not exclude the exit of Greece from the euro, assumptions against which the finance minister greek Yanis Varoufakis threat recourse to EU Court of Justice.

Bags cautious today after the collapse of yesterday ( Milan closed down 5%). A decrease in start-up, the Milan Stock swings on the values ​​of the closing on Monday.

The spread between BTP and Bund, after the jump yesterday, today is stable at just above 161 points, slightly above 159 yesterday’s closing. The Italian ten-year bond yield is at 2.38%. Banks closed in Greece until July 7.

“The large crowd gathered in Syntagma gives us strength. With calm and composure will face threats and blackmail, “said Premier greek Alexis Tsipras during a live interview on the public television ERT in which did not rule out the departure in case of victory of yes in the referendum on Sunday on the proposal of the creditors. “I’m not a man for all seasons,” the premier said, when journalists asked him what he will do if they win Sunday’s yes.

If the no wins, “perhaps we should say goodbye to the euro “then said the prime minister. “The Greek people can survive without the aid program,” he still said the leader of Syriza.

“I do not think that lenders will want to chase the Euro. The costs would be enormous, “stressed the Prime Minister again, arguing instead that” they want to throw out a government that has the popular support: theirs is a political choice. “

” People have the right to choose their future, “insisted Tsipras. “The people will hear his opinion on the notes issues: their voice will be heard.” “The stronger the front of No, the stronger the chance of a better negotiated after the referendum,” he added.

The France wants Greece to remain in the euro zone. That is what the French Finance Minister Michel Sapin in an interview with Europe 1 radio that the referendum called by the government Tsipras’ debate should be clear: so will have consequences, the other will not do. ” Sapin reiterated that the Greek situation will not however impact on French banks and that prices at auctions of government bonds fell this week in Paris.

“If the euro fails, Europe fails” He said yesterday tedsco Chancellor, Angela Merkel. “Europe must be able to find a compromise in the face of every challenge,” he added.

“The point is: the greek referendum will not be a derby between the European Commission and Tsipras, but a derby euro against the drachma. This is the choice, “he wrote yesterday on Twitter in English Prime Minister Matteo Renzi.

The exhibition of Italy to Greece is” 35900000000 “, meanwhile precise Minister Economy Pier Carlo Padoan. On Twitter the minister writes that “circulating wrong data on direct exposure Italy vs Greece in bilateral loans and guarantees (updated calculations ESM) is 35.9
 billion. “

The pressure to reopen talks between creditors and Greece meanwhile is getting stronger. Yesterday the French and American presidents, Francois Hollande and Barack Obama have “agreed to unite their efforts to facilitate a resumption of talks” on the Greek crisis, after a telephone conversation. It is what has been learned entourage of the head of the French state. “They agreed to join efforts to promote a resumption of the discussions, allow as quickly as possible a resolution of the crisis and ensure the financial stability of Greece,” said the same source Elysee. Yesterday Obama spoke on the phone with Merkel.

Even China has “interest” that Greece remains in the Eurozone. He said the Chinese premier Li Kequiang during his visit to Brussels. “We ask – he added – to international creditors to reach an agreement with Athens.”

The conference of leaders of the European requests the President of the EU Commission Jean Claude Juncker in the coming hours to hold an extraordinary Eurosummit on Greece .

“I am saddened by the spectacle that is given in the EU, the good will has evaporated, selfishness and tactical games or populists prevailed after all the efforts made, I feel betrayed because you do not take in consideration personal efforts and others, “said Juncker, that the Greeks asked to vote yes in the referendum on Sunday on offering creditors:” Voting no would mean that Greece says no to Europe “, a vote against would be ‘ disastrous. ”

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Monday, June 29, 2015

Tsipras “if it wins the ‘I resign.” Varoufakis, appeal to the EU Court – AGI – Agenzia Journalistic Italy

if Tsipras wins will I resign Varoufakis use EU Court 22:56 June 29, 2015

(AGI) – Athens, June 30 – Prime Minister greek, Alexis Tsipras, has asked his fellow citizens to vote no in the referendum on the floor of the creditors to give more ‘power in Athens to negotiate, but warned that in case of victory is’ his government will’ from part. “If the people greek want to proceed with the plans of austerity ‘forever, plans that will prevent uplift of the head, we will respect but we will not implement it,” said the leader of Syriza in an interview with public television ert. “I’m not a man for all seasons,” he added.

Meanwhile, Athens threatens to get through legal and what is not ‘managed to get through negotiations. That is threatening to sue the EU so as not to be ousted from the Eurozone. The latest idea and ‘Economy Minister greek, Yanis Varoufakis: resort to the EU Court of Justice for an injunction against the EU institutions is to block the expulsion of Athens from the Eurozone is to stop what he calls, ” suffocation “of the Greek banking system. In a statement to the British Daily Telegraph Varoufakis he threatened: “We will use all our legal rights. We are asking for advice and certainly will consider an injunction to the European Court of Justice. The EU treaties (subject to the jurisdiction of the court which is based in Luxembourg) provide for the exit from the euro, and we refuse to accept it. Our membership (Eurozone) and not ‘negotiable’.

 GIS 

Padoan: Italian exposed to 36 billion

The leading greek pero ‘tip of a victory not, although “it could mean the exit from the euro”, and warned that “the most ‘strong will’ the cartel proposed by creditors and no more ‘robust the tools for Greece” in further talks with creditors. In this sense, he mentioned “the example of the Irish referendum on the Lisbon Treaty and the changes introduced after the victory of the no”.
Tsipras and ‘ready to talk yet told European leaders to save the negotiations and, if offer him a deal, Greece would be ready to pay the installment of debt tomorrow. “My cell phone and ‘on all day,” he explained, “anyone who calls, I answer.” “We do not want to break the eurozone,” he assured, “but we will do everything necessary so that ‘the Greeks survive.” “I do not think that lenders will want to hunt the euro, the costs would be enormous,” he added.

Wall Street and European stock markets down sharply

In the long interview, Tsipras attacked creditors claiming that “they want to throw out a government that has the popular support: their and ‘a political decision.”
greek Prime Minister also assured that ” banks will reopen as soon as the ECB will reopen ‘liquidity’. ” “How can ‘pay the International Monetary Fund if our banks are brought to asphyxia?”, And you’ she asked.

In 17 thousand to the streets in Athens and Thessaloniki for the ‘no’

In 13,000 took to the streets in Athens and another 4,000 in Thessaloniki to protest in not in favor of the referendum on 5 July on the agreement with the countries of the eurozone that would save Greece from bankruptcy. In the capital, a peaceful crowd and you ‘gathered in Syntagma Square, chanting slogans for the’ Ochi ‘, no, and support for the government of Tsipras. Among the slogans chanted also “No to the blackmail of the EU-ECB-IMF troika”.

S & amp; P cuts rating to CCC- from CCC

Meanwhile, Standard & amp; Poor’s cut Greece’s rating to CCC- from CCC and considra 50 % of possibility ‘that Greece bait the eurozone.

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Greece referendum, what happens if he wins the yes or no – The Republic

SE WIN ‘THE SI’
The “Yes” to the proposal of the former Troika – for what they are worth polls last week – seems to be the most likely outcome of the referendum. 70% of Greeks want to stay in the euro. And 57% are willing to do that even if it put the signature of the Government under an agreement difficult to digest.

What if this really will be the outcome? Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, who also is campaigning for the no, was clear: “We will respect the will of the electorate, even though I’m not a man for all seasons”, suggesting that it might resign. A second after the proclamation of the victory of the yes, therefore, should take the plane to Brussels and formalize the OK from Greece to the proposals published by Jean-Claude Juncker, a couple of days ago: new pension cuts, objectives rigid surplus primary, a tough tax reform, military spending cuts, privatization and liberalization of the labor market. Creditors then should unlock aid needed to pay off the debts of Athens: the last tranche of 7.2 billion assistance plan from 240 billion to 11 billion in bank bailout fund. Just enough to repay the 1.6 billion loans already expired and the IMF about 7 due to the ECB in July and August.

It is doubtful that everything runs so smoothly. Indeed, most observers draw different scenarios. The first thing to understand, in theory, is whether the proposal on which the Greeks will vote again on the table on July 6. In theory, in fact, it ends tomorrow at the close of the aid program, although the choice of Juncker to make it public suggests that Brussels is willing to keep it alive at least until Sunday. The real problem is keeping ahead of Syriza a result of this kind. The reforms required by the Troika would have to be approved in Parliament to release the funds. And – with all the good will of Tsipras – it seems very unlikely that the more radical wing of his party is to vote on them disposa holding your nose. The same Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis admitted that with the victory of the yes it might be necessary to “reconfigure the government.”

The most likely outcome would therefore be two: Tsipras realizes not have the votes in classroom and resigned calling the elections. There is already talk of 26 July (must be made within one month). The Constitution allows him to this point he choose candidates from Syriza cutting out those opposed to compromise. The party of Prime Minister of the rest is still leading in all the polls. So much so that the opposition, in this case, might join forces in a sign pro-euro to win the majority of the premium.

The other hypothesis is that of a national unity government. Former Prime Minister Antonis Samaras has already asked Tsipras, arguing that neither he nor his rival should be part of it. The Prime Minister could groped an executive emergency without involving the center, but contenting marks of To Potami and PASOK (17:13 respectively). But perhaps it would not be enough. The government Syriza-Anel has a majority of 162 to 300. The radical wing of the left against 30-40 deputies and Anel 13. It seems so difficult a national unity government without the votes of the center-right New Democracy, hypotheses indigestible for Tsipras.

SE WIN ‘THE NO

The “no” at a disadvantage in the referendum on Sunday, despite the government – with shrewd move – has placed the box ” oki “(no in greek) above that of” Nai “(yes) on the ballot in the press at this time. The consequences of a victory not, many say, are likely to be much more complex to manage. Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said that an outcome of this kind would give him a mandate to push back to the sender compromise and come to Brussels to negotiate a better one of the strong result of the referendum. It remains to be seen whether then find someone sitting across the table. Most likely not.

The Troika could not consider as the closure of the negotiations. Not only it does not reopen negotiations, then, but would close permanently its program forcing the ECB to pull the plug of the funding to Athens, by suspending the emergency credit lines in recent months have kept alive the country. At that point, the state no money could not repay creditors and to reopen the banks would be forced to beat its own currency. The assumptions on the table in this regard are two: either a parallel currency that takes into being (while depreciating by 30-40%), the euro or the drachma, sign the final farewell to the single currency. The social and economic consequences (bankruptcy and nationalization of banks, shocks on the economy) would be tragic and easy to imagine. Especially for a country that has already lost 27% of GDP in five years of austerity. Europe, many say not be far behind. Rather. Could then intervene with emergency loans, but the damage would be saved. And probably irreparable.

The question to one million dollars (that could radically change this scenario) is if the President of the Republic Prokopis Pavlopoulos, man of the center-right New Democracy, to assist mere spectator in this cupio dissolve . The role of head of state in Greece is almost entirely symbolic. Pavlopoulos has however a deadly weapon in his hand: his resignation. “I’ll never be the president of a country emerging from the single currency,” he said clearly. And if he gave his resignation, there would be an immediate consequence: the country should be within one month for election. Disrupting the cards and re-opening games. Although at that point it would go to vote without any network of financial protection by the EU.

The Greek observers believe that in case of victory of no, they are just the resignation of the head of state the solution more likely. In both cases, however, for the national social situation would stress strong: capital controls would remain definitely active. The roofs withdrawals idem. And in the case of elections remain doubts about who would go to win. Syriza is ahead in the polls. PASOK and New Democracy have not been able to renew itself after bringing the country to collapse in 2010. And on the horizon is always the nightmare of Golden Dawn, although the leaders of the neo-Nazi party are mostly under house arrest. Chrysi Avgi traveling at this time in the polls (which have always underestimated the electoral weight) of about 6% and in the last election was the third party in the country.

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Tsipras, if he wins you ‘we will not implement austerity’ – AGI – Agenzia Journalistic Italy



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23:56 June 29, 2015

(AGI) – Athens, June 29 – Prime Minister greek, Alexis Tsipras, has asked his fellow citizens to vote no in the referendum on the floor of the creditors to give more ‘power in Athens to negotiate, but warned that in case of victory is’ his government will’ from part. “If the people greek want to proceed with the plans of austerity ‘forever, plans that will prevent uplift of the head, we will respect but we will not implement it,” said the leader of Syriza in an interview with public television ert. “I’m not a man for all seasons,” he added.
Leader greek pero ‘point to a victory not, although “it could mean the exit from the euro”, and warned that “more’ strong will ‘the cartel proposed by creditors and no more’ robust the tools for Greece “in further talks with creditors. In this sense, he mentioned “the example of the Irish referendum on the Lisbon Treaty and the changes introduced after the victory of the no”.
Tsipras and ‘ready to talk yet told European leaders to save the negotiations and, if offer him a deal, Greece would be ready to pay the installment of debt tomorrow. “My cell phone and ‘on all day,” he explained, “anyone who calls, I answer.” “We do not want to break the eurozone,” he assured, “but we will do everything necessary so that ‘the Greeks survive.” “I do not think that lenders will want to hunt the euro, the costs would be enormous,” he added.
In the long interview, Tsipras attacked creditors claiming that “they want to throw out a government that has the popular support: their and ‘a political decision. “
greek Prime Minister also assured that” banks will reopen as soon as the ECB will reopen’ liquidity ‘. ” “How you can ‘pay the International Monetary Fund if our banks are brought to asphyxia?”, And you’ asked.

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Renzi: the referendum is a derby greek euro-drachma. Padoan: doubts … – Il Sole 24 Ore

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This article was published June 29, 2015 at 19:45.
The last change is the 29 June 2015 at 20:39.

No one in Italy hides the concern for the possible exit of Greece from the euro. “The point is: the greek referendum will not be a derby between the European Commission and Tsipras, but a derby of the euro against the drachma. That is the choice. ” This was written in English on twitter Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, stressing the importance of the choice that awaits the people greek next Sunday.

Before the premier, speaking on behalf of the government was the Secretary to ‘ economy, Enrico Zanetti, secretary of Civic Choice: “The Greeks have the sacrosanct right to decide whether they want to go their own way. However, no right to say that Europe starves them. Start to have a social security system that is not even more generous than that of the countries that should help them and a number of civil servants reasonable. Then they can say that, despite this, Europe starves them. Today things are very different and who is rooting for Tsipras is rooting for a model absurd like “Italians tax and spend for the Greeks. ‘”

Direct exposure of Italy second Padoan: 35900000000
Economy Minister Pier Carlo Padoan stated that the exposure of Italy against Greece is “35900000000″. On Twitter the minister wrote that “circulating wrong data on direct exposure Italy vs Greece: from bilateral loans and guarantees (updated calculations ESM) is 35.9 billion.” In recent days, he said then the MEF with a note on the site, “have circulated analyzes of the effects of the crisis in the negotiations between Greece and the institutions representing the creditors. Among these, some analysis on the impact for Italy. Italy has direct exposure to Greece, by virtue of bilateral loans amounting to 10.2 billion euro. It also provided subsidies for Greece to EFSF to 25.7 billion euro. Exposure of Italy against Greece is therefore equal to 35.9 billion euro. ”

“A possible negative evolution of the crisis could have an impact on other financial entities to which Italy participates but the quantification of the direct impact on Italy of such a development is not feasible with the currently available information and even in less favorable scenarios is no doubt that there are direct effects. ”

“Even the Italian public debt – has again underlined the Treasury – circulate misleading information. The debt / GDP ratio in 2014 stood at 132.1%, is expected to reach a peak of 132.5% in the current year and is planned down in the following years, with a trajectory conforms to EU accounting rules: 130.9% in 2016, 127.4% in 2017, 123.9% in 2018, 120.0% in 2019. “



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Merkel: ready for talks with other Athens – Il Sole 24 Ore

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This article was published June 29, 2015 at 13:27.

FRANKFURT – In his first public statement after the breakup of the negotiations between Greece and its creditors and the announcement of the referendum by the premier greek Alexis Tsipras, Chancellor Angela Merkel has left the door open even a compromise, but repeated his classic binomial of solidarity and responsibility, “the two faces of the same coin”, and has dusted off its slogan of the darkest moments of the crisis, according to which ‘ if the euro fails, Europe fails. ” The spokesman for the chancellor said he is willing to talk with Tsipras at any time.

The chancellor, who later convened an emergency meeting with the leaders of parties represented in Parliament, including the opposition, has held as always a line very cautious, careful to avoid tearing, even if, refer environments of Berlin, the surprise announcement on Friday night by Tsipras want to hold a referendum (and particularly the fact that the prime minister had not greek He said it would campaign for the “no” to the proposals of creditors) would greatly irritated. “The zigzag of the greek government during the last hours and days leaves you speechless,” said the Foreign Minister, Frank Walter Steinmeier, in an interview to a local newspaper.

Speaking at the conference for the 70th anniversary of the founding of his party, the CDU, Angela Merkel has warned that Europe may temporarily put aside its principles for short-term considerations, except to risk serious consequences long-term, and also explained, in an indirect message to Greece that the euro zone can manage the crisis with the tools created in recent years.

On Sunday, the chancellor had spoken with the president of the United States, Barack Obama, who has long put pressure on the Europeans because they come to an agreement with Greece, which is considered by the US too important from a geopolitical point of view to be left to itself. The US administration is also concerned about the repercussions of the turmoil caused by the Greek crisis not only on the rest of the eurozone, but the whole of the global economy, which is still in a recovery phase precarious.

In the morning , the spokesman of Mrs. Merkel had stated that Germany is open to negotiations if Greece wants it and that the chancellor is always available to talk to his colleague greek. Germany, the spokesman said, wants strong an eurozone, but Greece is a “special case.”



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Fear Greek markets: the spread salt, Milan -3.5%. Waiting for … – Il Sole 24 Ore

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This article was published June 29, 2015 at 8:25.
The last change is the 29 June 2015 at 24:32.

As feared, the markets react badly to the news of the referendum greek. After the interruption of the talks on the bailout of creditors and the Greek authorities, the ECB has frozen vital funds to Greek banks, leaving Athens with no other choice but to close the doors to prevent the collapse. Greek Banks and Stock Exchange will be closed for the whole week, with a limit of 60 euro per day for the cash withdrawn at ATMs.
“The risk of a ‘Grexit’ is growing,” wrote today in a note Goldman Sachs.

There is no panic: the markets are reversing the optimism that was leaked last week and in one sitting are rimangiando earnings developed in the previous five. Meanwhile, the greek prime minister, Alexis Tsipras, has written a letter to the heads of state and government of the Eurozone, in which it requested a one-month extension of the aid plan: “I ask you to re-evaluate your position on the issue – says the letter, sent Sunday. Tsipras defended, also, the decision to hold a referendum as a democratic right of the people greek “.

The effects were immediately felt. The spread between BTPs and German Bunds in startup reached almost 200 points, jumping by about 80 basis points over the previous Friday (123). Then the differential fell violently, ranking around 150. A movement that could mean that the ECB intervened to buy bonds and curb the spread. Unprotected from the protection of the ECB Greek bonds to two years flying to 33% from 21% the previous Friday.

The ECB however can not certainly intervene on the stock market where the implications are more obvious. The lists of the old continent see go up in smoke 340 billion euro based on the Eurostoxx 600 that leaves on the ground 3.25%.

At the Milan Stock declines widespread on all titles. The FTSE MIB has come to transfer 5%, and then stabilized with a decline to around 3.5%, and return to lose 4%, in line with other major European markets. Down Tokyo and Shanghai.

In sharp decline bank stocks with Intesa Sanpaolo and Unicredit returned to trading after a suspension for excessive downward. It is clear that an increase in spreads and yields on government bonds penalizes banks that hold the belly in a significant amount of securities.

In this situation remains tonic that the euro after slipping below 1.10 in the night is then directed to $ 1.11 (euro / dollar rate and currency converter).

Meanwhile, there are the first statements on a day that promises to be highly volatile, precisely in relation the words of the charges involved in developing the institutional crisis. According to Ewald Nowotny, a member of the Governing Council of the ECB, the situation in Greece “is certainly dramatic when banks and stock exchange remain closed for a week. One can only hope that after the referendum we can get to a solution, “he said, adding that in the case of a” no “to the proposal of the creditors,” it is obvious that the options for further constructive discussions will be very limited. ” Failure to pay the IMF “does not mean immediate default,” he concluded.

Yellow on negotiations. The EU Commissioner for Economic Affairs, Pierre Moscovici anticipates that Juncker will make a new proposal to Prime Minister greek Alexis Tsipras, to try to avoid default. “It will indicate the path to follow. I hope everyone will commit to a compromise. ” In the absence of an agreement, in all likelihood Greece will end up defaulting on the payment of 1.6 billion euro to be paid by tomorrow at the IMF. But when we learn from the EU it denied that Juncker – who yesterday published the document proposal advanced in recent days the government greek – will make a further proposal. To try to mediate in the weekend they were also attended by the US Secretary of State Lew, worried that Athens may come under the influence of Russia. “The creditors of Greece should demonstrate flexibility and to consider a debt restructuring in Athens as part of discussions on a possible agreement.” But the creditors at the time held a hard line on the renegotiation of the debt even if they remain “open to new talks if Tsipras wants”, as said German Chancellor Angela Merkel.



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Greece imposes controls on capital after negotiations break – Reuters Italy


       

ATHENS / FRANKFURT (Reuters) – Greece has introduced controls on the movement of capital and held closed banks throughout the week, after the sudden breakdown of negotiations with the international creditors on the package of measures to obtain the release of funds needed to avoid default later this month. Also closed the Athens Stock Exchange.


       

The dramatic shift was consumed after the announcement of Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras of the will of the government to hold a referendum next Sunday on the supply agreement made by the EU Commission, ECB and IMF, after five months of fruitless negotiations.


       

Announcing the consultation, the greek government has asked the creditor institutions to extend the term of the financial assistance program, which expires at the end of the month, until July 6, the day after the vote, receiving a negative response.


       

Greece, not being able to pay 1.6 billion due on June 30 at the International Monetary Fund will start so to a default that is likely to take it out of the single currency.


       

In the light of these developments yesterday the directors of the European Central Bank left unchanged at the level of Friday the roof to emergency funds Ela (Emergency liquidity assistance), only lifeline that has kept afloat the greek banking system in recent months.


       

This is despite following the announcement of the referendum, which received the green light from the greek parliament, the influx of investors to ATMs to withdraw cash has intensified after the massive spill in recent weeks.


       

From here the decision to hold closed the banks and put a ceiling on withdrawals. Also today ATMs will be closed, while tomorrow we will be able to withdraw a maximum of 60 euro per day.


       

Tsipras has sought to reassure the public about the safety of their accounts and that salaries will be paid to the state.


       

The proposal made by creditors to Greece, which he got from the EU, IMF and ECB loans amounting to approximately 240 billion, provided for the satisfaction of financial needs until November, in exchange for pension cuts and tax increases. More …

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Sunday, June 28, 2015

Greece, banks closed until July 7 Tsipras: “Deposits are to … – The Messenger

Banks and Stock Exchange closed Monday in Greece. This was announced by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipra. The Council for stability ‘financial greek, instead, raised, and recommended the closure of banks for the next 6 days. That recommendation should therefore banks reopen Tuesday ‘July 7. The stop should come to understand Monday ‘July 6, the day after the celebration of the referendum on the rescue plan announced by the government for next Sunday July 5. Code today at ATMs. The ECB meanwhile not turn off the taps to Greek banks mentenenedo unchanged emergency funds. Are difficult times for Greece but also for Europe after the decision of the prime minister to reject the proposal of the creditors and to hold a referendum. (See EU proposal)

“The attempts to erase the democratic process is an insult and a disgrace to the democratic tradition in Europe,” said Tsipras, ensuring that the deposits of citizens are safe and accusing the ECB for the decision to close the banks and the stock market.

The European Central Bank, added, however, does not “stop the process of the referendum.” The countries of the euro, he added, “may give the ECB the freedom ‘to restore liquidity’ banks also very night.” The decision to reject the Greek request “for a short extension of the program,” points out, “is an act unprecedented by European standards and puts in question the right of a sovereign people to decide.”

” The decisions of the ECB and the Eurogroup have one goal: groped to stifle the will ‘of the people greek, then tweeted Tsipras adding, “they will not succeed: the exact opposite will happen. The greek people will resist with even more tenacity. “

Meanwhile, the US President, Barack Obama, today had a telephone conversation with German Chancellor, Angela Merkel. The two leaders, reports the White House, agreed that it is “crucial to take a path that will allow Greece to reform and growth within the eurozone.” The economic team of the two heads of state will stay in “close contact” to “monitor the situation.”

“The Bank of Greece, as a member of the Eurosystem, will take all the necessary measures to ensure financial stability for Greek citizens in these difficult circumstances, “he said the governor of the Bank of Greece, Yanni Stournaras in the statement released today by the ECB at the end of the Board of Governors.

The Governing Council of the ECB has left unchanged emergency funds Ela (emergency liquidity assistance). The Governing Council, the statement of the Frankfurt Institute, “has decided to maintain the ceiling for the grant emergency liquidity (ELA) to Greek banks to the level adopted Friday, June 26th.” The ECB is said however “ready to reconsider its decision.” and it states that ‘will continue to closely monitor the situation and the potential implications “that these circumstances will have” monetary policy “in the euro area.

The Governing Council of the ECB, the note continues,” It took note of the decision of the greek government to hold a referendum “for July 5 and” the failure to extend the bailout program “that expires on June 30. Following these decisions, the ECB “will work closely the Bank of Greece to maintain financial stability.”

The Governing Council of the ECB has also welcomed “welcomes” the commitment of ministers member states of the euro area “to take all necessary measures to further improve
 strength of the economies of the euro area and to be ready to take measures to strengthen the Economic and Monetary Union. “

The commitment of the Eurogroup and the ECB” to use all available tools to preserve the integrity and stability of the euro area “is very positive and shows that the euro area” is now in a strong position to respond to any developments in a timely and effective according to the needs, “he said Director of the IMF, Christine Lagarde. “I informed the Executive Board of the IMF on the inconclusive result of the recent discussions on Greece in Brussels. I shared my disappointment and reiterated our commitment to continue working with the Greek authorities, “Lagarde continued.

” The heads of government of the EU must act with each other and the German Chancellor, Angela Merkel , holds, as a representative of the country most important key to the solution. I hope you will use it, “he said in an interview with Bild Finance Minister greek Yanis Varoufakis.

” We could not accept the proposal, but – says Varoufakis – we could not reject it simply because of the importance of the matter for the future of Greece. For this reason we decided to reach out to our citizens to give them a choice “whether to accept the proposal made by the creditors. The greek minister, however, said he was “open to new proposals from the European institutions” after the failure of negotiations yesterday. “We have already put our proposals on the table. Now it is up to European institutions to show good will, “he stressed again Varoufakis.

The referendum next Sunday there will be,” whether they like it or not our partners, “said Tsipras in the night in Parliament, urging Greeks to reject the proposals of the international creditors. For the deputies, who approved the referendum with 178 votes in favor and 120 against, Tsipras assured that the result of the referendum will be respected.

“With a negative answer to the referendum there is a real risk of an exit of the euro in Greece,” he said the microphones of ‘Europe 1-itele-Le Monde, the French prime minister, Manuel Valls. “The referendum – said Valls – is a sovereign choice. You can not fault the choice to consult the people on the part of a government but the Greeks must choose lucidly. ” A priori, detects even the French prime minister, “we know neither one nor the other the economic and political consequences of a Greek exit from the euro. We must do everything possible to ensure that Greece remains in the euro zone. ” However, Valls adds, “you have to respect both democracy and European rules.”

Tsipras’ has failed dramatically and loudly “and his referendum” is a farce, “he says former Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras, leader of the conservative New Democracy, in his attack in court against the referendum called for next Sunday. According to the leader of the main opposition force, Tsipras is asking the people greek “to approve the release by the European Union.” “We Greeks want to stay firmly in the heart of Europe – said Samaras – the referendum draws us out of Europe.”

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