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The EU: leave the euro? For the Greeks devastating effects
Berlin Athens respects the terms even if he wins Tsipras. Merkel would not be contrary to the exit of Greece: a realistic and not so dramatic
The German Chancellor Angela Merkel
04/01/2015
correspondent in Brussels
The official answer is obvious, is the same as always. ‘The Commission does not comment on rumors reported by the newspapers, “says the spokesman of the European round, Enrico Brivio. It is no surprise that even references to the words by the head of Economy, Pierre Moscovici, who last December 29 called for “a strong commitment to Europe” by Athens, together with “broad support of leaders and Greek voters in favor of a necessary process of reform in favor of growth. ” The two things, said French, “will be essential because Greece prosperous again in the euro area.”
And ‘the classic position. Brussels does not want to meddle in the internal affairs policy that intertwine in the shadow of the Parthenon, however, does not give up push because the country respects the agreements signed with the EU and IMF, and to promise assistance in full respect of the European spirit. At the moment, therefore, official sources are silent, although it is not excluded that tomorrow things can change.
A lot will depend on market and how it will be received not the denial came from Berlin. Yesterday Der Spiegel wrote that Chancellor Merkel would consider realistic, and not dramatic, a possible exit from the Eurozone Athens. Today the deputy spokesman for the federal government said that “Greece has always respected its commitments in the past,” and expects to do it again. ” Legitimate aspiration, this, but does not change the line of fighters dashed the German press.
Just a couple of phone calls to find out that the upper floors of the European palaces reading Spiegel did not like. It is noted that yes, it is true, Europe is less vulnerable than two years ago, thanks mainly to the beginning of the Union banking and commissioning fund Salvastati EFSF. However there are fears that Greece’s exit from the Eurozone could be “devastating” for many reasons, starting with the fact that the European Union would lose the crutch in the coverage of public debt in 2015 will be at 168 percent of GDP. Go on the market without the guarantee of the Union would lead to a rapid and likely bankruptcy. Without thinking about everything else, the devaluation of the currency of a country that does little exports and rising interest rates that would kill businesses.
In Brussels it is considered impossible to evaluate ex ante, that is, before the events, the exact scope of the global consequences of a eurozone break, in terms of the political credibility of the Union itself and also of the possible effects of contagion sull’economie more fragile. “History teaches that markets seek only a pretext to attack the most vulnerable,” says a source of Brussels. Once you open the door, he points out, hard to imagine if, and under what conditions, it could be closed.
Tomorrow is likely to come from Brussels a few more words. In the meantime, a big piece of the institution suggests to carefully read the statements of the leader of Syriza, Alexis Tsipras. And to reason. “Net of peaks from the election campaign – says – Tsipras does not want to undermine the Union as make it more cohesive, flexible and supportive, with an approach then not too different from that of your premier Renzi.” It takes a cool head, he suggests. Also because “every time someone, and especially Germany, speaks to the people greek suggesting what to do, the people you groped greek euroscepticism even more.”
Print with you anywhere, anytime
Reuters
04/01/2015
Reuters
01/03/2015
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